No position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $357.82
- Potential payout
- $650.59
- Potential profit
- $292.77
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- $117.11
Polymarket Trader
ambuscade
0x08ddd809fb9ff2f697fda263e6554a7edd4b7d96
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $357.82
- Realized PnL
- $28.46K
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$19.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.32K
Yes position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.19K
Yes position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.36K
No position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01K
Yes position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $320
Yes position
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- $105.5
Yes position
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $58.9
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Clippers position
Clippers vs. Hornets
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
Yes position
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 8+ at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
Maple Leafs position
Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.1% 202.17 shares
- Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?Yes 97.2% 53.61 shares
- Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?Yes 97.3% 207.71 shares
- Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?Yes 97% 100 shares
- Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?Yes 95% 6,450 shares
- Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?Yes 97.1% 510 shares
- Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?Yes 97.2% 99 shares
- Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?Yes 97.2% 241.43 shares
- Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?Yes 97.3% 8.34 shares
- Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?Yes 97.2% 120 shares
- Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?Yes 85% 282.08 shares
- Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?Yes 84% 75.22 shares