Polymarket Trader

kaizengm

0x08e0bb7f0c4daac005b1d07f8e634a0148ee592f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $605.16
Realized PnL: $11.3K
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.56K
User PnL: -$777.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.34K
User PnL: -$26.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.28K
User PnL: -$25.58

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$625

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
User PnL: -$564.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
User PnL: -$22.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.09K
User PnL: -$10.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$21.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$20.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $971
Potential profit: $971
User PnL: -$3.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $960
Potential profit: $960
User PnL: -$19.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $900
User PnL: -$18

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $605.16
Potential payout: $621
Potential profit: $15.84
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $294.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $596.25
Potential profit: $596.25
User PnL: -$11.33

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $750.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $700.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $668

No position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $639.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $600

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $586

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $562.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $547

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $540

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $534

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $531.93

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $511

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $495

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $485.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $480

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $450

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $449.1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $390

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $355.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $331.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $313.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $290.42

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $285

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$199.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 12% 621 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 15% 66.41 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 15.5% 274.09 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 17% 30 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

No 99.9% 1,066 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Yes 10% 1,066 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 12% 271.14 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

No 99.9% 900 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Yes 16% 331.95 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Yes 17% 416.97 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Yes 18% 107.74 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Yes 20% 780 shares