Polymarket Trader

Sartum

0x08e7894bde1331c3324d697eafcb1b4f86c7193d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $290.07
Realized PnL: $443.66
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $290.07
Potential payout: $303.74
Potential profit: $13.67
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.52

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.64

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.3

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.23

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.67

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.96

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.61

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.54

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.33

Yes position

Trump claims victory before AP calls the election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.28

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.29

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.97

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.76

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16

No position

Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.58

No position

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $6.93

Yes position

Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.88

Yes position

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.72

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,250 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.24

Yes position

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.88

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $3.8

No position

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $3.59

Kamala position

Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?

Ends Sep 17, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "China" 5 or more times during his Michigan town hall?

Ends Sep 17, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67

TheMongolz position

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 95% 9 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 95% 294.74 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.4% 1,677.63 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.9% 1,052.63 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-30? AND Will France win on 2026-06-30?

33.6% 123.54 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.2% 625 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 98.9% 354.78 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? AND Will England win on 2026-06-27? AND Will France win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

3.1% 42.58 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 86% 380.08 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 85% 380.08 shares
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

No 77% 320 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 68% 255.45 shares