Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$146.21
Polymarket Trader
0x08eb...9ca4
0x08eb9061d05bd0e6f79c9ba947825f1bdc759ca4
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $324.19
- Realized PnL
- $2.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $7.73
- Potential payout
- $533.04
- Potential profit
- $525.31
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$34.91
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $47.12
- Potential payout
- $159.72
- Potential profit
- $112.6
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$2.7
N
No position
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $120.9
- Potential payout
- $123.56
- Potential profit
- $2.66
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $60.63
Yes position
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $50.24
- Potential payout
- $94.79
- Potential profit
- $44.55
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$12.42
N
No position
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $72.04
- Potential payout
- $73.02
- Potential profit
- $0.99
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $22.29
N
No position
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $25.16
- Potential payout
- $25.99
- Potential profit
- $0.83
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $5.39
Yes position
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.48
- Potential payout
- $8.76
- Potential profit
- $8.28
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$7.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $333.2
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $272.44
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.38
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.08
BetBoom Team position
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.36
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.93
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.28
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.15
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.63
FURIA position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.33
FURIA Esports position
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.55
Aurora Gaming position
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winner
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.38
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.98
Over position
Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 240.5
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.37
N
No position
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $57.33
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.38
Yes position
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.86
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 3 Winner
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.35
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.14
US position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $44.84
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.72
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.88
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 85% 43.65 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 86.2% 337.73 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 86% 9.16 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 88% 3.98 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 17% 394.52 shares
- Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes 52% 39.94 shares
- Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?No 81.3% 11.27 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes 30% 66.16 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes 30% 0.46 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes 30% 2.38 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes 30% 1.18 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes 30% 66 shares