Polymarket Trader

saikyo666

0x090f32e2104b1bd680efce03ecfc56097a6531ac

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.35K
Realized PnL: $5.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.93K
Potential profit: $3.93K
User PnL: -$3.73K

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $1.35K
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $450.88
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $613.2

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.52K
User PnL: -$1.1K

No position

Will Stable launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $945.97
Potential profit: $945.97
User PnL: -$250

Sabalenka position

Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on February 5?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $507.05
Potential profit: $507.05
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$250

No position

Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Danil "donk" Kryshkovets win the HLTV Player of the Year award?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.97
Potential profit: $73.97
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$10

FaZe position

Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.74
Potential profit: $37.74
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.95
Potential profit: $16.95
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.51
Potential profit: $4.51
User PnL: -$0.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $961.73

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $608.15

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $409.44

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $393.39

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $345.31

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $293.66

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 4?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281.83

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 5?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $277.5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 14?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255.05

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.2

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: December

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.23

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.5

No position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.64

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.8

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 3?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.9

No position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.05

No position

Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.36

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 3?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.99

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 4?

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.68

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.18

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 19?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.78

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 2?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.58

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 5?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

No 41% 1,803.51 shares
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?

No 15% 300 shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?

Yes 8.8% 444.44 shares
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?

Yes 1.2% 538.32 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 12?

Yes 95% 3,929.64 shares
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?

No 44.2% 226.36 shares
Government shutdown on Saturday?

Yes 75% 333.33 shares
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?

No 99.2% 4,030.45 shares
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs

Vitality 67% 149.25 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs

Spirit 59% 16.95 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Up 97.8% 3,894.45 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 5?

No 98.4% 3,689.1 shares