No position
Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $810.99
- Potential payout
- $823.76
- Potential profit
- $12.77
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$2.01
Polymarket Trader
4000B
0x091ad33c3f8941f8ebe7630487d8bac7cdbddb09
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $812.8
- Realized PnL
- $3.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $26.9
- Potential profit
- $26.77
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.21
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.69
- Potential payout
- $12.47
- Potential profit
- $11.78
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$4.3
No position
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $9.26
- Potential profit
- $9.23
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$4.97
No position
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $1.1
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $783.19
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.69
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.99
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.88
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.28
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.08
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.88
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.07
Nigma Galaxy position
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.77
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.5
Yes position
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 15.5
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.33
Yes position
Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101
Yes position
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.29
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.94
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98
Thunder position
1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.31
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?No 98.7% 823.76 shares
- Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?No 0.1% 87.4 shares
- Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?No 98.5% 1.01 shares
- Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?No 92% 1.12 shares
- Haiti elections delayed again?No 19% 7.69 shares
- Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?No 15% 12.66 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 18.7% 11.75 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 34% 7.81 shares
- Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?No 32% 8.19 shares
- Over 6 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?No 30% 5.26 shares
- Over 10 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?No 57% 5.31 shares
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?No 45% 7.69 shares