Polymarket Trader

Simbabu4a

0x091aff306c28e855161c481d198d07ae57358ddd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $36.2
Realized PnL: $105.39
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.05
Potential profit: $59.05
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $4.26
Potential payout: $34.78
Potential profit: $30.52
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$3.74

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.3%
Current value: $5.32
Potential payout: $27.59
Potential profit: $22.26
Multiplier: 5.18x
User PnL: -$2.68

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.05
Potential profit: $19.05
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $16
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 52.7%
Current value: $6.13
Potential payout: $11.65
Potential profit: $5.51
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $2.13

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.38
Potential profit: $9.38
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.77
Potential profit: $8.77
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $4.48
Potential payout: $7.94
Potential profit: $3.45
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$0.52

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Liverpool beat Real Madrid?

Ends Nov 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.91

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?

Ends Jul 14, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.4

No position

Bitcoin above $68,000 on August 2?

Ends Aug 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.54

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.14

Yes position

Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Jul 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.35

No position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.11

No position

Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.61

Yes position

Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will another player be Euro 2024 top scorer?

Ends Jul 14, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$49.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 98.1% 1,681.95 shares
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 98.1% 1,681.96 shares
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 57% 8.77 shares
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 99.3% 1,609.65 shares
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 99.4% 1,609.66 shares
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 34.3% 11.65 shares
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 32% 9.38 shares
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.9% 1,111.11 shares
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Yes 75% 16 shares
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in January 2026?

Yes 3.4% 59.05 shares
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99% 1,111.11 shares
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

No 21% 19.05 shares