No position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.1%
- Current value
- $9.92
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $5.09
- Multiplier
- 1.51x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Polymarket Trader
0x0923...b0ce
0x092301af8d06980d762aa939db6d07e29d0eb0ce
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $9.92
- Realized PnL
- -$52.23
- Win rate
- 27.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in June?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $17.18
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Y
Yes position
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$1.94
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$3.42
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$7.21
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.7%
- Multiplier
- 5.36x
- User PnL
- -$13.56
No position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.2%
- Multiplier
- 5.22x
- User PnL
- -$17.53
No position
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in June?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.1%
- Multiplier
- 3.12x
- User PnL
- -$25.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?No 30.1% 353.95 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?No 68.1% 25.39 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?No 30.6% 310.63 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?No 54.3% 50 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 43% 3.76 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?No 68.3% 34.08 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes 67.1% 96.73 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?No 32.8% 19.73 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes 31% 122.02 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?No 32.9% 111.8 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes 31.9% 70 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?No 32.8% 96.42 shares