Polymarket Trader

Mahonie81

0x0946fae9fb3759df22ec5ccae9e6922aca96a856

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $87.01
Realized PnL: $78.88
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $15.6
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $784.4
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$4.4

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $16.5
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $583.5
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $8.6

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.3
Potential profit: $200.3
User PnL: -$35

130k position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $189.43
Potential profit: $189.43
User PnL: -$130

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $48.51
Potential payout: $106.62
Potential profit: $58.11
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $10.73

Yes position

Will Burnley FC win on 2025-08-16?

Ends Aug 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $6.4
Potential payout: $63.67
Potential profit: $57.27
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.1
Potential profit: $41.1
User PnL: -$3

DR Congo position

England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.42
Potential profit: $33.42
User PnL: -$13.42

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Jude Bellingham: 2+ goals

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $10.87
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Ecuador?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Panama vs. England: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.41
Potential profit: $5.41
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.85
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $2.33
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Ethereum all time high in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

No position

Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-05?

Ends Jan 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.23

No position

Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.49

Yes position

Will Nottingham Forest vs. Liverpool end in a draw?

Ends Jan 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.33

Yes position

Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.66

No position

NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

Yes position

Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Yes position

Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.73

Yes position

New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.67

No position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.5

No position

Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.36

No position

Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 11?

Ends Oct 11, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.33

No position

Fed rate cut in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.08

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.93

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.41

No position

Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Norway position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74

Mexico position

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

Yes position

Will Lisa Cook vote at the next FOMC meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-09-21?

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.16

Yes position

Will Brentford win on 2025-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.56

Yes position

Will the match between Finland and England end in a draw?

Ends Oct 13, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.8% 600 shares
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance

DR Congo 55% 17.49 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.3% 300 shares
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance

DR Congo 34% 8.24 shares
Jude Bellingham: 2+ goals

Yes 5.5% 18.18 shares
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance

DR Congo 13% 7.69 shares
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance

Mexico 93% 4.61 shares
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Ecuador?

Yes 17% 5.88 shares
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance

Mexico 65% 4.62 shares
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Norway 63% 4.7 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

No 43% 2.33 shares
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?

Yes 26% 3.85 shares