Polymarket Trader

raghu79

0x0952819229fb73bd3460726909e2f285c054429a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $147.15
Realized PnL: $96.05
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $45.92
Potential payout: $45.92
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $37.08

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.74
Potential profit: $33.74
User PnL: -$2.89

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $24
User PnL: -$2.77

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $18.89
Potential payout: $18.89
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $14.11

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.2
Potential profit: $14.2
User PnL: -$9.8

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 9?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $13.7
Potential payout: $13.7
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $6.85

No position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.18
Potential profit: $13.18
User PnL: -$9.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $4.58
Potential payout: $7.11
Potential profit: $2.52
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $4.73
Potential payout: $7.11
Potential profit: $2.38
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $4.09
Potential payout: $7.1
Potential profit: $3.02
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $4.62
Potential payout: $7.1
Potential profit: $2.49
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: -$0.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $4.79
Potential payout: $7.1
Potential profit: $2.31
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$0.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.4
Potential profit: $6.4
User PnL: -$3.17

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 91.2%
Current value: $5.59
Potential payout: $6.13
Potential profit: $0.54
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.9%
Current value: $5.42
Potential payout: $6.09
Potential profit: $0.68
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.62

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $4.87
Potential payout: $6.09
Potential profit: $1.22
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $3.62
Potential payout: $6.09
Potential profit: $2.46
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $4.41
Potential payout: $6.09
Potential profit: $1.67
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $4.11
Potential payout: $6.09
Potential profit: $1.98
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $4.02
Potential payout: $6.08
Potential profit: $2.07
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $4.81
Potential payout: $6.08
Potential profit: $1.28
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $3.92
Potential payout: $6.08
Potential profit: $2.16
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $5.08
Potential payout: $6.08
Potential profit: $1
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.89

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.84

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.79

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.63

Yes position

Will John Oliver say "Government" 3+ times on Last Week Tonight?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.58

Yes position

Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.55

No position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.47

No position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.41

No position

Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.41

No position

Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.94

No position

Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.94

No position

Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.88

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.82

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.73

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.68

Yes position

Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.65

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 2-8?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.53

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 10?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 20-26?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.23

Yes position

Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 2-8?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 4?

No 70% 6.09 shares
Games Total: O/U 3.5

Under 93% 6 shares
Mexico leading at halftime?

No 75% 6.07 shares
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 4?

No 69% 7.1 shares
Will "I Will Find You" be the top US Netflix show this week?

No 79% 6.08 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 4?

No 66% 7.11 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 4?

Yes 68% 7.1 shares
Will "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

No 93% 6 shares
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

No 78.8% 6.09 shares
Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Yes 91% 7 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on July 4?

No 70% 6.09 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 77% 6.08 shares