Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $5.1
- Potential payout
- $68
- Potential profit
- $62.9
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.06
Polymarket Trader
username28
0x095b8d419f4e2194d94fa4ee1b604daa85d18a05
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $87.19
- Realized PnL
- $631.28
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $50.03
- Potential profit
- $44.53
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $12.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $37.25
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $15.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $34.25
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$4.25
Yes position
Will the Labor Party (PT) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
Ends Jun 6, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.43
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.58
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$17.08
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.3%
- Current value
- $10.65
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $39.35
- Multiplier
- 4.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $7.43
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $25.58
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.16
Yes position
Will Elsa Pinto win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $21.66
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$8.68
Yes position
Will Hyperbeat launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $7.39
- Potential payout
- $21.42
- Potential profit
- $14.03
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Will QFEX launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $8.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $11.1
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $7.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $12.1
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $11.88
- Potential profit
- $10.89
- Multiplier
- 11.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Relay launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $3.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.95
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.2%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $3.34
- Multiplier
- 4.32x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.19
Y
Yes position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.59
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in February?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Manel Kape fight Joshua Van next?No 8% 20 shares
- Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by June 30?Yes 10% 25 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?No 10% 80 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes 15% 13 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes 15% 40 shares
- Will Relay launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes 32% 20 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 8% 86 shares
- Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?No 75.5% 20 shares
- Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes 27% 33 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No 34% 18 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No 35% 23 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 34% 50 shares