No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $166.95K
- Potential payout
- $167.37K
- Potential profit
- $418.42
- User PnL
- $19.91K
Polymarket Trader
Contrarian - 7451
0x095dcfb123a4bc035ee6b0d624bab0cc964352cf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $755.2K
- Realized PnL
- $174.45K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $155K
- Potential profit
- $155K
- User PnL
- -$134.2K
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $130.57K
- Potential payout
- $131.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- User PnL
- $21.44K
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130.31K
- Potential profit
- $130.31K
- User PnL
- -$76.78K
No position
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $57.03K
- Potential payout
- $57.87K
- Potential profit
- $839.05
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.97K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $50.33K
- Potential payout
- $55.62K
- Potential profit
- $5.28K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$181.48
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $54.91K
- Potential payout
- $55.11K
- Potential profit
- $192.87
- User PnL
- $2.47K
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $51.25K
- Potential payout
- $51.53K
- Potential profit
- $283.44
- User PnL
- $1.7K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.79K
- Potential profit
- $47.79K
- User PnL
- -$30.23K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.64K
- Potential profit
- $45.64K
- User PnL
- -$45.13K
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $28.68K
- Potential payout
- $39.56K
- Potential profit
- $10.88K
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $2.53K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $28.23K
- Potential payout
- $31.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.96K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $8.05K
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $28.59K
- Potential payout
- $28.95K
- Potential profit
- $361.86
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.49K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $24K
- Potential payout
- $27.75K
- Potential profit
- $3.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $3.39K
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $22.58K
- Potential payout
- $25.81K
- Potential profit
- $3.23K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $955.59
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $22.92K
- Potential payout
- $25.61K
- Potential profit
- $2.69K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.2K
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.2%
- Current value
- $20.91K
- Potential payout
- $24.56K
- Potential profit
- $3.65K
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$237.57
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.53K
- Potential profit
- $22.53K
- User PnL
- -$17.13K
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $19.1K
- Potential payout
- $19.17K
- Potential profit
- $67.08
- User PnL
- $315.02
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $12.97K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $2.02K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $2.25K
No position
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $13K
- Potential payout
- $13.04K
- Potential profit
- $39.12
- User PnL
- $193.75
No position
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $11.89K
- Potential payout
- $11.93K
- Potential profit
- $47.74
- User PnL
- $292.13
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $11.29K
- Potential payout
- $11.35K
- Potential profit
- $62.42
- User PnL
- $575.28
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.28K
- Potential profit
- $11.28K
- User PnL
- -$8.23K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.98K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.96K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.16K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.98K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.65K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.44K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.44K
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.36K
No position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.55K
No position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?
Ends Feb 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.77K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.69K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.15K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.94K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.87K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.86K
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.31K
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19K
Yes position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16K
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15K
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.8% 500 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.8% 500 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.7% 500 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.7% 500 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.7% 500 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.7% 500 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.7% 500 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.7% 500 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.7% 500 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.7% 500 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.7% 500 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.7% 500 shares