No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $2.15K
- Potential payout
- $2.16K
- Potential profit
- $7.54
- User PnL
- $18.05
Polymarket Trader
KatarinaxGaren
0x095ed632cc2e5f1aa9d3d3629d9ce76c1f4cb372
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.15K
- Realized PnL
- $240.33
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.56
No position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.86
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.23
Yes position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.29
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.86
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.53
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.06
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.36
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.17
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.87
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.56
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.31
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by March 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.93
Yes position
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
No position
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07
No position
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.97
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.96
No position
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 99.1% 501.19 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 99% 385.89 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 98.9% 300 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 98.8% 201.51 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.9% 2,130.81 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 99.9% 2,078.01 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 99.9% 2,044.95 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Yes 99.9% 1,992.29 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.8% 1,982.35 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 99.9% 1,978.38 shares
- New "Stranger Things" episode released by March 31?No 99.7% 1,976.4 shares
- Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)No 99.9% 1,970.47 shares