Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.4
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Polymarket Trader
0x0972...2129
0x0972c039036e8b2c36f9ef0ff638ca48654b2129
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $7.74
- Realized PnL
- $1.33
- Win rate
- 78.9%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.8%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $6.49
- Potential profit
- $5.15
- Multiplier
- 4.82x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $2.18
- Potential payout
- $5.59
- Potential profit
- $3.41
- Multiplier
- 2.57x
- User PnL
- $1.18
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $2.22
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.3%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $1.92
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- Multiplier
- 1.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $1.92
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.04
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Lakers position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.9% 5.59 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes 45% 2.22 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 12% 8.33 shares
- NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. RocketsLakers 92.4% 1.08 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 98.4% 1.02 shares
- Trump out as President by April 30?No 98.3% 1.02 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15.4% 6.49 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 96.1% 1.04 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 23?Yes 95.5% 1.05 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 96.1% 1.04 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?No 95.5% 1.05 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Yes 68.1% 1.47 shares