Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $1.34K
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $346.1
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $42.21
Polymarket Trader
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0x09755453fc7d27f0ae239996a2f76efe491caa98
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.34K
- Realized PnL
- -$1.81K
- Win rate
- 45.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $610.9
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $332.27
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.19
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.97
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.23
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$162.79
Yes position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$187.87
Yes position
Swell airdrop by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$289.75
Yes position
Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 30?
Ends Aug 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$434.49
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$682.72
No position
Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.43K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 77% 1,688.31 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No 97.9% 919.54 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No 87% 919.54 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 97.9% 1,322.94 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 86% 1,322.94 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 28.2% 2,413.79 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 58% 2,413.79 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 24% 750 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 40% 750 shares
- Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes 2.4% 505.12 shares
- Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes 39.6% 505.13 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 68% 1,470.59 shares