No position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $249.83
- Potential payout
- $602
- Potential profit
- $352.17
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$51.17
Polymarket Trader
aprsu
0x097933be741e8044c050124f331f80381500364b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $722.91
- Realized PnL
- $1.05
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $352.17
- Potential payout
- $602
- Potential profit
- $249.83
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $51.17
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $15.16
- Potential payout
- $15.21
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $14.68
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $11.93
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $10.98
- Potential payout
- $11.19
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $9.15
- Potential payout
- $9.27
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $6.81
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $1.19
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $6.98
- Potential payout
- $7.23
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $7.2
- Potential profit
- $6.3
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $5.94
- Potential payout
- $7.2
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $6.82
- Potential payout
- $7.18
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $6.94
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $1.41
Yes position
Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $4.29
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $3.76
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.23
- Potential payout
- $5.23
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $5.07
- Potential payout
- $5.15
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $5.02
- Potential payout
- $5.03
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.33
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.32
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.2
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.15
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
X Money released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No 97.8% 15 shares
- Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?No 75% 1.33 shares
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?No 76% 1.32 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?Yes 83% 1.2 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?Yes 72% 5.26 shares
- Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?Yes 19% 5.26 shares
- Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?No 88% 1.14 shares
- Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?No 87% 1.15 shares
- Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?No 87% 1.15 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-23?Yes 81% 7.2 shares
- Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?Yes 14% 7.2 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?Yes 83% 7.69 shares