No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.5K
- Potential profit
- $10.5K
- User PnL
- -$19.99
Polymarket Trader
mcal
0x097c49d5a43d5e570967cc3811d53a9a474b7c8d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.56
- Realized PnL
- $193.44
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $340
- Potential profit
- $339.15
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $179.37
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.43
Yes position
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10.3
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84
- Potential profit
- $84
- User PnL
- -$10.08
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67
- Potential profit
- $67
- User PnL
- -$20.1
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $58
- User PnL
- -$20.3
Yes position
Will Brazil join the Board of Peace?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$10.4
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.28
- Potential payout
- $38
- Potential profit
- $37.72
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.76
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$5.7
Yes position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$5.1
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.1%
- Current value
- $6.6
- Potential payout
- $10.8
- Potential profit
- $4.2
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $5.92
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $10.69
- Potential profit
- $10.49
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.99
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.37
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- $11.53
No position
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.72
Yes position
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.21
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 0.1% 10,000 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 2% 500 shares
- Will Brazil join the Board of Peace?Yes 2.3% 50 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes 26% 40 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes 12% 84 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes 19% 30 shares
- Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Yes 17% 30 shares
- Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Yes 10.3% 37.77 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?No 56% 71.5 shares
- Will Trump visit China by March 31?No 98.3% 180 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?No 30% 67 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?No 35% 58 shares