Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.93K
- Potential profit
- $14.93K
- User PnL
- -$6.08K
Polymarket Trader
5332321
0x09abc5845c024a4f9a3abff29d95057e6b20e832
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $480.93K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $309.75K
No position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.65K
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.39K
Yes position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19K
No position
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.31
Yes position
Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.5
No position
Another U.S. strike on Fordow nuclear facility before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.13
No position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.51
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.38
Yes position
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.03
No position
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.49
No position
Another US military action against Iran by Sunday?
Ends Jun 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.37
No position
Another Iran strike on Israel in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.93
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.16
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Starmer out before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$55.98
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$131.93
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$800.51
Yes position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$810.29
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.18K
Yes position
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.28K
Yes position
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.79K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No 89.1% 1,079 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes 23.1% 10,463.26 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes 34% 6.06 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes 31% 3.48 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 65.1% 8,488.45 shares
- Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No 80% 3.21 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 66.9% 7,827.7 shares
- Will Biden finish his term?Yes 88% 3.47 shares
- Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes 98% 23.24 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 54.9% 93,457.59 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 54.8% 21,339.32 shares
- Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No 88% 1.58 shares