Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $437
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.86K
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $92
Polymarket Trader
sdrhertdrf
0x09b545ff052089b32fa5ab50bcd4c04e42dd8dc2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $437
- Realized PnL
- -$3.79K
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $598
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.45
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $13.6
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $2.4
S
Sunderland AFC position
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$12
No position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$75
No position
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$493.98
Yes position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$582
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 10?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.26K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 15% 2,300 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 83.5% 400 shares
- Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?No 97.7% 350 shares
- Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?No 93% 350 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 91.6% 800 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 89.9% 800 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes 68% 600 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes 70% 600 shares
- Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No 6% 649.97 shares
- Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No 50% 500 shares
- Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No 82% 308.6 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 10?Yes 55% 1,046 shares