nnimrodd

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $17K
Potential payout: $21.54K
Potential profit: $4.53K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $6.84K

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $154.17
Potential payout: $8.33K
Potential profit: $8.18K
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $30.27

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.67K
Potential profit: $4.67K
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.52K
Potential profit: $4.52K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.26K
Potential profit: $4.26K
User PnL: -$94.25

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $367.31
Potential payout: $3.69K
Potential profit: $3.32K
Multiplier: 10.05x
User PnL: $133.97

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.43K
Potential profit: $3.43K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $1.68K
Potential payout: $2.62K
Potential profit: $942.25
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $222.61

Yes position

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $1.38K
Potential payout: $2.24K
Potential profit: $862.18
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$56.23

No position

Will Matt Van Epps win TN-7 Special Election?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $2.16K
User PnL: -$253

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.09K
Potential profit: $2.09K
User PnL: -$87.48

Yes position

Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.99K
Potential profit: $1.99K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.84K
Potential profit: $1.84K
User PnL: -$984.5

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $1.61K
Potential payout: $1.82K
Potential profit: $208.94
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $410.3

Yes position

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $495.64
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $110.17

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $105.52
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.51K
Multiplier: 15.27x
User PnL: $5.53

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $933.16
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $470.09
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $101.68

Yes position

Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $18.15
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.38K
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$31.84

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.38K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.18K
User PnL: -$450

Yes position

Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $555.09
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $445.07
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $21.64

Yes position

Trump out as President in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $937.34
Potential profit: $937.34
User PnL: -$51.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.69K

Yes position

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.65K

Yes position

Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.31K

Yes position

Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.87K

Yes position

Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78K

Yes position

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.58K

Yes position

Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.36K

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27K

Yes position

Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9K

Yes position

Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9K

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42K

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3K

Yes position

Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26K

Yes position

Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08K

Yes position

Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04K

Yes position

Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79K

Yes position

Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62K

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54K

No position

Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?

Ends May 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52K

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34K

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

Yes position

Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?