No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $580.5
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $19.5
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $5.9
Polymarket Trader
atai
0x09bb9e266a491e64528f00b30118adbda69d75b9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.36K
- Realized PnL
- $1.4K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $329
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $21
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $23.5
No position
Is Earth flat?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $227.59
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $2.41
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.03
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $194.25
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $15.75
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $19.27
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.73
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $8.85
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.15
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.94
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.17
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.02
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.71
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.93
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win Vermont by the largest margin?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.68
No position
Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?
Ends Jan 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.4
Alaska position
Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.86
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.45
No position
Iran Nuke in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53
No position
Will Trump issue 20-24 executive orders on Day 1?
Ends Jan 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.09
Yes position
Will it take Jerry 5000 or more strokes to hit a Hole in One?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.92
No position
Will Xi visit the US by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.5
No position
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.1
No position
Will Trump win Missouri by 20+ points?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.86
Yes position
Will Vladimir Putin attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.47
No position
Will Trump visit China by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.41
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.3
Yes position
Trump transgender executive order on Day 1?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.73
No position
China x Taiwan military clash by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.28
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Trump inauguration gets more viewers than Biden's?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.55
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
No position
Will it take Jerry 12-18 hours to hit a hole in one?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Is Earth flat?No 98.2% 440 shares
- Is Earth flat?No 97.7% 140 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No 99.3% 100 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 90% 200 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No 98.2% 1,000 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No 98.4% 2,467.71 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No 98.9% 1,676.7 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.9% 45 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?Yes 0.3% 199.97 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?No 98.8% 1,065 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?Yes 1.2% 199.99 shares
- Will Trump visit China by October 31?No 99.5% 100 shares