No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $421.73
- Potential payout
- $466
- Potential profit
- $44.27
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$33.59
Polymarket Trader
Aaronaaa
0x09cb70ab2d98dd22eba04b83ec19678d29e8e58e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $532.04
- Realized PnL
- $193.72
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $94.6
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $5.4
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$3.19
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $15.71
- Potential payout
- $15.78
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.8
No position
Over 30,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.33
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $12.64
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.4
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.6
No position
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.05
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $9.24
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.9
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $5.16
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.42
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $3.3
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $3.22
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Rainbow FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 97.7% 466 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 97.1% 130 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 94% 136 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 94% 150 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 92% 180 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 78% 120 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 95% 130 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?No 98.8% 100 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?No 97% 139.7 shares
- EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?No 99.4% 127 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?No 99.6% 220 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 92% 232 shares