0x0570fB3cE876666C619A6E2143943b4D565cf927-1728409847267

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37
Potential profit: $37
User PnL: -$1.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37
Potential profit: $37
User PnL: -$1.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37
Potential profit: $37
User PnL: -$1.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37
Potential profit: $37
User PnL: -$1.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37
Potential profit: $37
User PnL: -$1.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37
Potential profit: $37
User PnL: -$1.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37
Potential profit: $37
User PnL: -$1.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $35.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $36
User PnL: -$1.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $35.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $8.1
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $27.9
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $6.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $36
User PnL: -$1.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $35.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $36
User PnL: -$1.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $35.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $36
User PnL: -$1.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $35.87
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $2.93
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $12.08
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $3.53
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $11.48
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $2.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 17.9%
Current value: $2.69
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $12.32
Multiplier: 5.59x
User PnL: $2.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $13.28
Multiplier: 8.73x
User PnL: $1.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 30–June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.58

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.6

No position

Will Elon tweet 150–174 times June 6–13?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 175–199 times June 6–13?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7 AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.25

No position

Will Elon tweet less than 150 times June 6–13?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5 PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 18, 12 AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.4

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.2

No position

Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 23–30?

Ends May 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.31

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.15

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11 PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

No position

Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 20–27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.56

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3 PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11 PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8 PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.81

No position

Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 23–30?

Ends May 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10PM ET