No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $365.52
- Potential profit
- $365.52
- User PnL
- -$318
Polymarket Trader
johnana
0x09d612e3f330dd6330807969fb79f67e44ca6f1f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $45.25
- Realized PnL
- $240.82
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $21.08
- Potential payout
- $28.11
- Potential profit
- $7.03
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $24.17
- Potential payout
- $24.17
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.17
No position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.19
- Potential profit
- $14.19
- User PnL
- -$13.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.63
No position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.68
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.32
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Yes position
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.71
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.03
Yes position
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.76
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.61
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.07
No position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
Yes position
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.52
Yes position
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
No position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.96
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.98
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97
Yes position
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64
Yes position
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
No position
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 14?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
Yes position
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93
No position
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Yes 86.9% 24.17 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 96.6% 22.1 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 95% 22.11 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 98.2% 21.03 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 96.5% 21.04 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 87% 365.52 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?No 98% 14.29 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?No 96.6% 21.74 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 76% 302.63 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes 96.3% 141.3 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 96.3% 133.33 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 13% 5.55 shares