Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $561.07
- Potential payout
- $1.97K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $105.97
Polymarket Trader
docalpha
0x09d9af653847a76d07611b1711e4f30ad35b7574
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $656.61
- Realized PnL
- $369.81
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $81.7
- Potential payout
- $527.1
- Potential profit
- $445.4
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$4.51
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $8.95
- Potential payout
- $111.89
- Potential profit
- $102.94
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$7.79
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be 120,000 voters or higher?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $68.22
- Potential profit
- $68.19
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.01
No position
Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 100,000 and 110,000 voters?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $57.35
- Potential profit
- $56.81
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$2.01
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $4.31
- Potential payout
- $19.58
- Potential profit
- $15.27
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$4.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $67.9
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $63.4
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 43%
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- $42.54
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $22.59
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 32%
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $20.73
Pakistan position
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.22
No position
Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $18.86
South Africa position
ODi Series South Africa vs Pakistan, Women: South Africa vs Pakistan
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.04
No position
Will the State of the Union be 110 minutes or longer?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.6
No position
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.34
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.57
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 46%
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- $8.98
England position
T20 World Cup: England vs Italy (Game 1)
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
No position
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $6
Italy position
T20 World Cup: Italy vs Nepal (Game 1)
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.97
South Africa position
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs UAE (Game 1)
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.36
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.64
Yes position
Khamenei seen in public by March 3?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.76
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $3.59
India position
T20 World Cup: India vs Namibia (Game 1)
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
Zimbabwe position
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.31
No position
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 73%
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $3
Up position
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mobile Legends Bang Bang: The Soulless Team vs HARD GRIND (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 2nd DivisionThe Soulless Team 1% 270 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 48% 117.96 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 21?Yes 0.1% 45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 21?Yes 6.6% 22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 21?Yes 1% 110 shares
- Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be 120,000 voters or higher?Yes 2.9% 28.22 shares
- Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 100,000 and 110,000 voters?No 7% 50 shares
- Will Club Libertad vs. Independiente del Valle end in a draw?Yes 0.8% 60 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 26% 500 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 20% 71.99 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 35% 10 shares
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Texas Rangers 0.1% 1,900 shares