Polymarket Trader

GMbullishmans

0x09df462e314d99d77457849065a3d15083885e4b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $323.26
Realized PnL: $364.68
Win rate: 40%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $721.55
Potential profit: $721.55
User PnL: -$100

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $224.02
Potential payout: $238.7
Potential profit: $14.68
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $24.02

No position

Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170.51
Potential profit: $170.51
User PnL: -$154.87

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $99.24
Potential payout: $151.52
Potential profit: $52.27
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.95
Potential profit: $149.95
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will FTX payouts start in Q4 2024?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$44

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.15
Potential profit: $96.15
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Elon Musk bans Apple devices at his companies?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-22?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.52
Potential profit: $64.52
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.54
Potential profit: $52.54
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-10-22?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.99
Potential profit: $10.99
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $308.52

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.48

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37

Yes position

China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.13

No position

Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2024?

Ends Nov 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

No position

GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.44

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$9.18

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the Dutch Grand Prix?

Ends Aug 25, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Solana above $150 on August 16?

Ends Aug 16, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$49.4

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$76.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

No 66% 151.52 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?

No 83.8% 238.7 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 37% 110.32 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?

No 88% 113.64 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?

No 87.9% 113.75 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 45.3% 110.32 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?

No 96.4% 103.73 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Up 9% 6.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Up 16% 6.25 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

No 91% 10.99 shares
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?

No 93.3% 53.56 shares
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?

Yes 1.4% 1,694.91 shares