Polymarket Trader

GrinderJoe

@joejoek4

0x09e2a9b9b8be958def481a0baab76e1ce32e2675

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.22K
Realized PnL: $32.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $819
Potential payout: $42K
Potential profit: $41.18K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$189

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $1.96K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.05K
Multiplier: 5.12x
User PnL: $495.54

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $1.38K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.61K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$165

Yes position

Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35K
Potential profit: $4.35K
User PnL: -$2K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.68K
Potential profit: $3.68K
User PnL: -$2K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.36K
Potential profit: $3.36K
User PnL: -$2K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.31K
Potential profit: $3.31K
User PnL: -$1.6K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.22K
Potential profit: $3.22K
User PnL: -$1.48K

Yes position

Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $3.17K
Potential profit: $1.73K
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$555.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.17K
Potential profit: $3.17K
User PnL: -$1.7K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.07K
Potential profit: $3.07K
User PnL: -$1.6K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.88K
Potential profit: $2.88K
User PnL: -$1.71K

No position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.74K
Potential profit: $2.74K
User PnL: -$1.48K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.72K
Potential profit: $2.72K
User PnL: -$1.5K

No position

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $2.2K
Potential payout: $2.38K
Potential profit: $178.43
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $42.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $2.2K
User PnL: -$1.18K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $2.13K
User PnL: -$999.99

Yes position

Exact Score: Sweden 3 - 1 Tunisia?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $1.74K
User PnL: -$753.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $1.53K
User PnL: -$700

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.52K
User PnL: -$989.5

No position

Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $1.42K
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $66.72
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $61.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $1.44K
User PnL: -$988.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$652.54

Yes position

Exact Score: Sweden 2 - 1 Tunisia?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$300

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.24K

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99K

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $814.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $812.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $805.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $777.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $766.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $718.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $712.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $654.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $623.04

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $607.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $598.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $524.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Sweden 3 - 1 Tunisia?

Yes 43.6% 352.62 shares
Exact Score: Sweden 3 - 1 Tunisia?

Yes 42.8% 701.48 shares
Exact Score: Sweden 3 - 1 Tunisia?

Yes 43.5% 690.44 shares
Exact Score: Sweden 2 - 1 Tunisia?

Yes 25% 1,202.12 shares
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 63% 1,587.3 shares
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 63% 1,587.3 shares
China x Japan military clash before 2027?

No 90% 1,340 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

No 63.8% 548.2 shares
China x Japan military clash before 2027?

No 89% 139 shares
Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by December 31, 2026?

No 58% 269.23 shares
Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by June 30, 2026

No 95% 792.99 shares
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 9?

No 35% 200 shares