Polymarket Trader

-yanis-

0x09f800ae977a55cd7cb284c71143d28c1e4f2689

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $781.11
Realized PnL: -$231.57
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.59K
Potential profit: $8.59K
User PnL: -$6.27K

Yes position

Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $15.63
Potential payout: $6.25K
Potential profit: $6.23K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$9.38

Yes position

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $122
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $4.31K
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $97

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $428.4
Potential payout: $484.07
Potential profit: $55.67
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $12.1

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $111.31
Potential payout: $119.05
Potential profit: $7.74
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $11.31

No position

US military draft authorized in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.4%
Current value: $103.78
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $7.33
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $3.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.28
Potential profit: $3.28
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.87

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $7.1

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.31

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.03

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 86% 67.77 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 86% 416.3 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 91% 59.17 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

No 99.8% 103.51 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 99.9% 156.51 shares
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

No 99.8% 103.19 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 95% 46.42 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Down 2% 6.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Down 22% 4.55 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Down 58% 1.72 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Down 61% 1.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Down 61% 1.64 shares