No position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.29K
- Potential profit
- $53.29K
- User PnL
- -$375.84
Polymarket Trader
Lanfear
0x09fdbae1048ab7454f2d2b0e642aa7acde6bb61e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $471.4
- Realized PnL
- $3.45K
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.06K
- Potential profit
- $33.06K
- User PnL
- -$873.61
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $11K
- User PnL
- -$11
No position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.67K
- Potential profit
- $2.67K
- User PnL
- -$275.52
Yes position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.66K
- Potential profit
- $2.66K
- User PnL
- -$319.99
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$143
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $30.25
- Potential payout
- $679.86
- Potential profit
- $649.61
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$91.29
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $492
- Potential profit
- $492
- User PnL
- -$12.3
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $470
- Potential profit
- $470
- User PnL
- -$213.5
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $200.2
- Potential payout
- $440
- Potential profit
- $239.8
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $40.6
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $434.16
- Potential profit
- $434.16
- User PnL
- -$26.92
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $2.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $397.6
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$89.6
No position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.98
- Potential profit
- $399.98
- User PnL
- -$74
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $386.98
- Potential profit
- $386.98
- User PnL
- -$128.57
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $368.78
- Potential profit
- $368.78
- User PnL
- -$27.11
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $24.57
- Potential payout
- $325.42
- Potential profit
- $300.85
- Multiplier
- 13.25x
- User PnL
- -$6.22
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $184.58
- Potential payout
- $321
- Potential profit
- $136.43
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $64.74
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $8.11
- Potential payout
- $305.9
- Potential profit
- $297.79
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $2.29
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$93
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $3.71
- Potential payout
- $275
- Potential profit
- $271.29
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$109.04
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $236.07
- Potential profit
- $236.07
- User PnL
- -$102.07
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $3.56
- Potential payout
- $182.54
- Potential profit
- $178.98
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$40.61
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $168
- Potential profit
- $168
- User PnL
- -$42
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.4%
- Current value
- $14.03
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $135.98
- Multiplier
- 10.70x
- User PnL
- $5.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $755.2
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $696.63
No position
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246.8
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.04
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.47
Y
Yes position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.51
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.92
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.63
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.38
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.95
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 33% 10 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 31% 35 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 43% 20 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 9.5% 34.96 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?Yes 18% 20 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 24% 100 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 36% 100 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 36% 100 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 36% 200 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?Yes 35% 24.82 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?Yes 42% 107 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 99.9% 50 shares