Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $851.12
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $180.54
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $97.04
Polymarket Trader
daniel122134
0x09fe78c8b9f10fb9c7c0a584bfab4205c76876ee
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.12K
- Realized PnL
- $31.52K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $155.64
- Potential payout
- $972.76
- Potential profit
- $817.12
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$62.59
Yes position
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $30.13
- Potential payout
- $927.13
- Potential profit
- $897
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- $21.45
Yes position
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 23.2%
- Current value
- $203.39
- Potential payout
- $878.58
- Potential profit
- $675.19
- Multiplier
- 4.32x
- User PnL
- $167.58
Yes position
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $37.44
- Potential payout
- $872.67
- Potential profit
- $835.23
- Multiplier
- 23.31x
- User PnL
- -$774.33
No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $293.86
- Potential payout
- $773.31
- Potential profit
- $479.45
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $44.59
Yes position
Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $764.73
- Potential profit
- $764.35
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$50.31
Yes position
Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.37
- Potential payout
- $737.42
- Potential profit
- $737.05
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$157.24
Yes position
Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.37
- Potential payout
- $731.36
- Potential profit
- $730.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$39.73
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $432.04
- Potential payout
- $714.11
- Potential profit
- $282.07
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $47.53
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $22.78
- Potential payout
- $433.83
- Potential profit
- $411.05
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$38.29
No position
Will James Richardson be the Republican nominee for AL-01?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $417.78
- Potential payout
- $425
- Potential profit
- $7.23
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$6.38
No position
Will National Dialogue Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $371.09
- Potential payout
- $372.02
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: Other
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $2.74
- Potential payout
- $364.9
- Potential profit
- $362.16
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$38.4
Yes position
Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $11.09
- Potential payout
- $357.83
- Potential profit
- $346.74
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- $8.01
No position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $179.92
- Potential payout
- $318.5
- Potential profit
- $138.58
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
No position
Will Watani Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $277.88
- Potential payout
- $278.71
- Potential profit
- $0.84
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $248.64
- Potential payout
- $253.33
- Potential profit
- $4.69
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$3.06
No position
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR + UDMR + AUR?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $248.88
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- User PnL
- -$0.63
No position
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $64.85
- Potential payout
- $244.73
- Potential profit
- $179.88
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $13.45
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $78.68
- Potential payout
- $215.55
- Potential profit
- $136.87
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $35.57
No position
Will the Gedeo People’s Democratic Party (GPDP) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $183.65
- Potential payout
- $184.02
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $6.79
- Potential payout
- $178.71
- Potential profit
- $171.92
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- $2.88
Yes position
Will MUNDO-GB win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $168.1
- Potential profit
- $167.68
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.16K
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.18K
Yes position
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89K
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
Yes position
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82K
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $1.74K
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: Crypto Edition
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
No position
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- $899.84
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $896.76
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $814.9
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: August
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $812.12
No position
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $798.54
Yes position
Will Robert Kyagulanyi Ssentamu win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $769.71
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $721.02
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $720.24
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $679.26
No position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $661.89
Yes position
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Ends Oct 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $627.77
No position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $616.66
Yes position
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $589.53
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $583.37
Yes position
Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $573.64
Yes position
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $512.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Australia be the highest-scoring team in Group D during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 88% 22.87 shares
- Will Paraguay be the highest-scoring team in Group D during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.9% 22.87 shares
- Will Türkiye be the highest-scoring team in Group D during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 93% 22.87 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-23?No 20% 500 shares
- Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?No 86% 500 shares
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 200m?No 85% 6.25 shares
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?No 94.8% 6.25 shares
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?No 91% 6.25 shares
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?No 64% 6.25 shares
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?No 72% 6.25 shares
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Saudi Arabia?No 98.9% 16.87 shares
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Saudi Arabia?No 96% 16.87 shares