Polymarket Trader

gustanh

0x0a116a58af7c0e96bcd7d75fdbcb0f067ed9d924

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $117.99
Realized PnL: -$42.55
Win rate: 84.6%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$490.25

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $894.98
Potential profit: $894.98
User PnL: -$244.55

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700.36
Potential profit: $700.36
User PnL: -$245.12

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $652.17
Potential profit: $652.17
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $303.03
Potential profit: $303.03
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $188.04
Potential profit: $188.04
User PnL: -$48.89

No position

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $98.26
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $18.02
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$1.74

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $5.09
Potential payout: $110.65
Potential profit: $105.56
Multiplier: 21.74x
User PnL: -$4.91

Yes position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.45
Potential profit: $91.45
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will France win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87
Potential profit: $87
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $14.64
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $56.79
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $4.64

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.83

Yes position

Will Trump say "Winston" or "Churchill" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.65

Yes position

Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.22

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.15

Dalibor Svrcina position

Ostrava: Dalibor Svrcina vs Felix Gill

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82

Daria Kasatkina position

La Bisbal: Emiliana Arango vs Daria Kasatkina

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

Nerman Fatic position

Ostrava: Nerman Fatic vs Jack Pinnington Jones

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

Matteo Berrettini position

Cagliari: Patrick Kypson vs Matteo Berrettini

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Benjamin Bonzi position

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Benjamin Bonzi

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$246.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?

Yes 46% 652.17 shares
Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?

Yes 97.9% 541.22 shares
Will Trump say "Winston" or "Churchill" during King Charles visit?

Yes 68.8% 72.65 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Yes 36% 55.56 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Yes 3.3% 303.03 shares
La Bisbal: Emiliana Arango vs Daria Kasatkina

Daria Kasatkina 79% 12.66 shares
Ostrava: Dalibor Svrcina vs Felix Gill

Dalibor Svrcina 78% 12.82 shares
Cagliari: Patrick Kypson vs Matteo Berrettini

Matteo Berrettini 89% 11.24 shares
Ostrava: Nerman Fatic vs Jack Pinnington Jones

Nerman Fatic 69% 5 shares
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?

Yes 35% 700.36 shares
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?

Yes 27.3% 894.98 shares
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?

Yes 35% 1,400.71 shares