Polymarket Trader

PublioCornelio

0x0a33fa80244e1e1ab627a38c5735abfd2dd43a4f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.09K
Realized PnL: $24.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $78.75
Potential payout: $52.5K
Potential profit: $52.42K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$26.25

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $25.33
Potential payout: $50.67K
Potential profit: $50.64K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$278.67

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $3.06K
Potential payout: $22.39K
Potential profit: $19.33K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: $55.99

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $7.14
Potential payout: $14.29K
Potential profit: $14.28K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$92.86

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.8%
Current value: $917.98
Potential payout: $10.43K
Potential profit: $9.51K
Multiplier: 11.36x
User PnL: $34.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99K

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $1.61K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55K

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $982.93

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $848.3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $737.97

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $697.37

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $687.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $647.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $593.8

No position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $576.72

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $566.66

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $542.85

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $433.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $429.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $409.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $409.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $382.87

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 2,500 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.5% 10,431.64 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 50,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.1% 1,012,922.55 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 872,500 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.4% 22,388.06 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 53.5% 9,016.39 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.7% 428.57 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 61% 9,016.39 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.8% 40,931.57 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 0.6% 34,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 0.6% 16,666.67 shares