No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $494.83
- Potential payout
- $497.82
- Potential profit
- $2.99
- User PnL
- $155.03
Polymarket Trader
0x0A3413CdeDcBbb0949eEF5CDc3C8A0Ec311Caa23-1772956470852
0x0a3413cdedcbbb0949eef5cdc3c8a0ec311caa23
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $558.62
- Realized PnL
- $140.23
- Win rate
- 43.8%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $270.27
- Potential profit
- $269.86
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$9.59
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117.44
- Potential profit
- $117.44
- User PnL
- -$75
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $63.39
- Potential payout
- $96.77
- Potential profit
- $33.39
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $33.39
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.69
- Potential profit
- $76.69
- User PnL
- -$27
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.64
- Potential profit
- $71.64
- User PnL
- -$48
PARIVISION position
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs PARIVISION (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group A
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.19
- Potential profit
- $24.19
- User PnL
- -$15
MOUZ position
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $18.52
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.91
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $33.29
PARIVISION position
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.91
PARIVISION position
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.29
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.02
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.11
REKONIX position
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Virtus.pro position
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Virtus.pro (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
PARIVISION position
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group A
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.09
Aurora position
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.26
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.56
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.74
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.01
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.33
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$59.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 31% 96.77 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 37% 27.03 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 53% 18.87 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 47% 10.64 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 47% 42.55 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 95.8% 186.11 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 6% 111.65 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No 98.1% 20.4 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 49% 14.29 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes 3.7% 270.27 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 35.8% 27.92 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 49% 20.41 shares