No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $6.15K
- Potential payout
- $16.84K
- Potential profit
- $10.7K
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.48K
Polymarket Trader
0x0a38DcF3740eE299a0607E80CB955C42a34cF931-1727027089095
0x0a38dcf3740ee299a0607e80cb955c42a34cf931
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.35K
- Realized PnL
- $1.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
ECB rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.43K
- Potential profit
- $12.43K
- User PnL
- -$1.68K
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.93K
- Potential profit
- $6.93K
- User PnL
- -$190.6
No position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.46K
- Potential profit
- $1.46K
- User PnL
- -$115.01
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$15.6
No position
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $198.36
- Potential payout
- $367.33
- Potential profit
- $168.97
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- -$24.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.3
No position
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $105.16
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $90.13
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $84.4
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $82
Yes position
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $78
Yes position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $52.12
Yes position
Will Trump lower tariffs on EU in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.59
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during call with Service Members on November 27?
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.2
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.4
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.63
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hell" at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.46
No position
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.1
No position
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.3
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.83
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.72
No position
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.16
Yes position
Will Trump reduce majority of tariffs before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.92
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.27
No position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.78
Yes position
Will Trump remove Jerome Powell in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.53
No position
Will Trump say "Peace" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.79
Yes position
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.27
No position
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 43% 1,622.65 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 43% 100 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 41.5% 18.47 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 17.8% 636.44 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 41% 800 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 41% 1,000 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 42% 200 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 40.8% 50 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 16.5% 200 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 16.4% 100 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 16.8% 300 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 16.8% 300 shares