Polymarket Trader

0x0a3c...0511

0x0a3c73f8e790f2b1ab695a1bff17697ecf5c0511

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $3.7K
Realized PnL: $2.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $1.81K
Potential profit: $678.1
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$173.15

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $675.24
Potential payout: $729.99
Potential profit: $54.75
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $83.95

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $10.3
Potential payout: $664.54
Potential profit: $654.24
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$4.82

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $582.75
Potential payout: $587.75
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: $39.75

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $156.6
Potential payout: $579.99
Potential profit: $423.39
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$50.7

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $502.23
Potential payout: $506.02
Potential profit: $3.8
User PnL: $61.99

No position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $407.45
Potential payout: $411.36
Potential profit: $3.91
User PnL: $5.82

No position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $210.94
Potential payout: $213.4
Potential profit: $2.45
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.81

Yes position

Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $11.62
Potential payout: $40.06
Potential profit: $28.45
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$2.47

No position

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $13.06
Potential payout: $13.67
Potential profit: $0.62
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $2.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66K

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.99

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.22

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.75

No position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.23

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.9

No position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.53

No position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.3

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.71

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.44

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.17

Yes position

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.02

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.43

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.95

Yes position

Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.78

No position

Will John Fleming finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.33

Up position

XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.46

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.18

Yes position

Will FC Hermannstadt win on 2026-05-18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95

No position

Will the Department of Homeland Security receive full-year funding by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

No position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

CF Cruz Azul position

Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 81% 729.99 shares
Iran leadership change by June 30?

No 98.8% 129.49 shares
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?

No 98% 213.4 shares
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Down 76% 1.89 shares
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Down 71% 2 shares
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Down 77% 4 shares
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Up 38.7% 19.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Up 1% 150 shares
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Up 59% 6.54 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET

Up 12% 20.17 shares
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Up 67% 2.36 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET

Up 12% 34.58 shares