Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $382.61
- Potential payout
- $5.89K
- Potential profit
- $5.5K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$617.39
Polymarket Trader
0x0A3EB16E04Ec5f22f064fEc35AA8cF1BeC1f8745-1767899588581
0x0a3eb16e04ec5f22f064fec35aa8cf1bec1f8745
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.38K
- Realized PnL
- $148.94
- Win rate
- 22.2%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.14K
- Potential profit
- $5.14K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $428.36
- Potential payout
- $4.51K
- Potential profit
- $4.08K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.67K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.8K
- Potential profit
- $2.8K
- User PnL
- -$550
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $3.84
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $2.56K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$996.16
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $318.15
- Potential payout
- $1.93K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$681.85
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $59
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$41
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $122.73
- Potential payout
- $909.09
- Potential profit
- $786.36
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $22.73
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $65.63
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $559.38
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$34.38
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $573.16
- Potential profit
- $573.16
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.24
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Khamenei public appearance by Friday?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$220
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$320
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$510.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes 51.9% 1,928.15 shares
- Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes 19.5% 5,135.3 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 11% 909.09 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes 17% 5,886.32 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes 39% 2,561.26 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 8.9% 1,123.88 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 18.9% 2,644.41 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?No 78.4% 87.03 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 40.2% 2,734.22 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 99.8% 2,295.82 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes 16% 625 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 33% 151.3 shares