Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.51K
- Potential profit
- $2.51K
- User PnL
- -$30
Polymarket Trader
Gargamellll
0x0a43e616a01fdcd2b27878b0664befa1d2821050
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $422.84
- Realized PnL
- $160.44
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $106.52
- Potential payout
- $144.93
- Potential profit
- $38.41
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $6.52
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $62.1
- Potential payout
- $130.73
- Potential profit
- $68.63
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $11.46
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $10.49
- Potential payout
- $89.29
- Potential profit
- $78.79
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $67.91
- Potential payout
- $74.63
- Potential profit
- $6.72
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $17.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.17
- Potential profit
- $71.17
- User PnL
- -$12
No position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.27
- Potential profit
- $59.27
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $46.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $3.25
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $9.25
No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $39.74
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $10.25
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $5.75
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $30.02
- Potential payout
- $35.53
- Potential profit
- $5.51
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $27.75
- Potential payout
- $28.15
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.75
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $26.57
- Potential payout
- $27.53
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.42
- Potential profit
- $10.42
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $6.98
- Potential profit
- $1.99
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $1.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.71
- Potential profit
- $5.71
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Up position
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETUp 65% 7.69 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETUp 48% 10.42 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETUp 81% 6.17 shares
- Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?No 16.9% 59.27 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 43% 6.98 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 10% 32 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 26% 70.73 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETUp 97% 10.69 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETUp 93% 5.38 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETUp 94% 5.32 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETUp 91% 20.12 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETUp 54% 9.26 shares