Polymarket Trader

sapiensp

0x0a58e3806e9e9fd6952ab5819a288b60c6bdc236

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $125.75
Realized PnL: $1.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $48.6
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.15K
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$53.4

No position

Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $6.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $393.8
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$9.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.13
Potential profit: $399.13
User PnL: -$283.33

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$135.2

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $70.95
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $39.05
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$2.75

No position

FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$82.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$46.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C or higher on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$7.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$4.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.34

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 20?

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.2

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.74

Yes position

Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-09-27?

Ends Sep 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.34

Yes position

Wolves vs. Manchester United: Both Teams to Score

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.5

Yes position

Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-10-01?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79

Yes position

Will Tottenham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

Yes position

Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.35

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $68.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.88

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 22?

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.4

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46

Yes position

Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43

No position

Will the price of Solana be above $140 on November 26?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.1

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.03

No position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.8

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

KT Rolster 39% 200 shares
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

KT Rolster 72.5% 200 shares
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score

No 25% 100 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 95.5% 300 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 95.4% 200 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

No 64% 100 shares
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?

No 2.8% 1,000 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

No 69% 200 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

No 71% 500 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 21?

Yes 48% 8.54 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on April 21?

Yes 89% 19.2 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 21?

Yes 92% 99.6 shares