Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $910.71
- Potential profit
- $910.71
- User PnL
- -$7
Polymarket Trader
0x0a6D615a5A52F2A245a4f209f7864BfE663f78f2-1773078009206
0x0a6d615a5a52f2a245a4f209f7864bfe663f78f2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.37
- Realized PnL
- $78.67
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $4.67
- Potential payout
- $207.52
- Potential profit
- $202.85
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.43
- Potential payout
- $190.48
- Potential profit
- $189.05
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.57
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.93
- Potential profit
- $133.93
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $3.6
- Potential payout
- $80.02
- Potential profit
- $76.42
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$4.4
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.72
- Potential payout
- $53.43
- Potential profit
- $52.71
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$6.28
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $3.01
- Potential payout
- $53.19
- Potential profit
- $50.19
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.99
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $2.52
- Potential payout
- $48.01
- Potential profit
- $45.49
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$2.48
Yes position
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $5.16
- Potential payout
- $35.73
- Potential profit
- $30.57
- Multiplier
- 6.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $4.26
- Potential payout
- $23.67
- Potential profit
- $19.41
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $17.24
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.93
- Potential profit
- $8.93
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.89
Yes position
Will Powell say "Recession" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.13
Yes position
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.63
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.7
No position
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.78
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
Yes position
Will Powell say "Speculate" or "Speculation" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
Yes position
Will Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $2.19
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Connecticut Huskies position
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Michigan Wolverines position
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Yes position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.97
Yes position
Will Powell say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" 7+ times during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Yes 13.3% 15.04 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes 17% 11.76 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 13% 23.08 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 1.9% 104.07 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes 24% 8.33 shares
- Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Yes 17% 11.76 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes 28% 3.57 shares
- Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Yes 22.4% 8.93 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 2.9% 103.45 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 9% 44.44 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 8% 12.5 shares
- Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No 18% 5.56 shares