Polymarket Trader

Ogonee

@Dmytro76362420

0x0a793254e040027c5d1ca0c2f87cda8e22228e05

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.8K
Realized PnL: $23.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $1.74K
User PnL: -$1.65K

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $1.19K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $14.4
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $10.01

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $712
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $88
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 4 2025)

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $761.78
Potential profit: $761.78
User PnL: -$602.22

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $595.82
Potential payout: $600.02
Potential profit: $4.2
User PnL: $10.8

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500.01
Potential profit: $500.01
User PnL: -$345.45

No position

Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$427.39

Yes position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$282.9

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$172.7

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $198.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $1.3
User PnL: $23.4

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $87
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $113
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $35

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $190.01
Potential profit: $190.01
User PnL: -$28.5

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $105
User PnL: -$20.05

No position

Will Trump say "Pakistan" during Zelensky events on August 18?

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.52
Potential profit: $104.52
User PnL: -$71.83

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$77

Yes position

Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$57

Yes position

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $17.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $82.5
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$21.5

No position

Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 16?

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$86

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$57

Yes position

Will Israel strike Syria on Friday August 29?

Ends Sep 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$9.6

Yes position

Will Israel strike Yemen 4 or more times by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $55
User PnL: -$1.27

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99K

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $859.08

Yes position

Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $838.42

No position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $780.96

No position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $747.67

No position

Maduro out by November 30, 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $742.92

Yes position

Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $678.42

Usyk position

Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $663.69

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $613.65

No position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $586.07

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $546.82

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $529.98

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $521.78

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $488.07

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $485.67

No position

Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $471.99

Yes position

Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $450.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 94.6% 500 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 99.7% 500 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

No 99.9% 99.99 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 10% 100 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 13.7% 200 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 99.2% 4,786.75 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 98.1% 611.62 shares
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven

Usyk 99.9% 8,647.46 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?

Yes 98.7% 281.13 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Yes 26% 25 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

No 69% 10 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Yes 66% 10 shares