Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $819.39
- Potential payout
- $5.65K
- Potential profit
- $4.83K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$985.6
Polymarket Trader
0x0a8d3813a7dC583e83fC5392235E39b041Ad1AF3-1767666835787
0x0a8d3813a7dc583e83fc5392235e39b041ad1af3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.23K
- Realized PnL
- $992.34
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.2%
- Current value
- $359.02
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- Multiplier
- 4.51x
- User PnL
- -$106.16
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $3.02
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$463.19
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $18.07
- Potential payout
- $397.21
- Potential profit
- $379.14
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.39
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $22.38
- Potential payout
- $396.16
- Potential profit
- $373.78
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$10.89
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $13.12
- Potential payout
- $332.04
- Potential profit
- $318.92
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$4.81
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $229.41
- Potential profit
- $229.41
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Down position
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.53
- Potential profit
- $51.53
- User PnL
- -$30.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $2.54K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.37
Up position
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.28
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.63
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 0 - 0 Manchester United FC?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- -$9.68
Yes position
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$15.67
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$85.37
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$229.83
Yes position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$288.71
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$340.01
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$784.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.9% 397.21 shares
- Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12?Down 60% 51.53 shares
- Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 11?Up 99.9% 51.48 shares
- Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 11?Up 46.9% 51.49 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 5.1% 500 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.4% 332.04 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?Yes 98.3% 16.43 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.4% 360.16 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.4% 36 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 30.3% 500 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?Yes 47% 6.43 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 28.7% 1,620.84 shares