N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$40.18
Polymarket Trader
0x0a8e...05a4
0x0a8eee5cb1f039540abbbecc03571146048c05a4
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $247.18
- Realized PnL
- $2.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.27K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$13.39
Yes position
Will Anca Dragu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.7
- Potential payout
- $680.56
- Potential profit
- $678.86
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $3.67
- Potential payout
- $523.7
- Potential profit
- $520.03
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$3.86
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $427.12
- Potential profit
- $426.91
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$13.67
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $3.49
- Potential payout
- $279.42
- Potential profit
- $275.93
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.21
- Potential payout
- $269.22
- Potential profit
- $268.01
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $8.44
- Potential payout
- $248.37
- Potential profit
- $239.93
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- -$7.57
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $16.27
- Potential payout
- $215.49
- Potential profit
- $199.22
- Multiplier
- 13.25x
- User PnL
- $14.76
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.31
- Potential payout
- $203.45
- Potential profit
- $203.14
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets in July 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $173.33
- Potential profit
- $172.99
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $6.09
- Potential payout
- $172.05
- Potential profit
- $165.96
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$4.75
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $135.42
- Potential payout
- $171.41
- Potential profit
- $36
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $111.37
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.9%
- Current value
- $13.63
- Potential payout
- $125.05
- Potential profit
- $111.42
- Multiplier
- 9.17x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $122.22
- Potential profit
- $121.24
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $1.68
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $118.32
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$2.04
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $118.38
- Potential profit
- $118.2
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.19
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $112.5
- Potential profit
- $112.44
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.72
- Potential payout
- $84.96
- Potential profit
- $84.24
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $2.26
- Potential payout
- $70.7
- Potential profit
- $68.44
- Multiplier
- 31.25x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.91
- Potential payout
- $70.24
- Potential profit
- $69.33
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Yes position
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.31
- Potential payout
- $69.67
- Potential profit
- $69.36
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $30.51
- Potential payout
- $61.64
- Potential profit
- $31.13
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $17.2
- Potential payout
- $61.44
- Potential profit
- $44.24
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$10.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $378.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 3PM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 28?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.35
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 13, 11AM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 4PM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.33
Movistar KOI position
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.09
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $67.58
Texas Rangers position
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.13
Yes position
Will SV Darmstadt 98 vs. SV 07 Elversberg end in a draw?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes 4.6% 5.76 shares
- Will the announcers say "Header" during the Germany vs Ivory Coast FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 96% 5.27 shares
- Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs WeClear - Map 2 WinnerNAVI Junior 99.5% 9.09 shares
- Will Trump say "Jesus" this week?Yes 87% 3 shares
- Will Trump say "Oil" during Medal of Honor ceremony on June 18?Yes 87% 1.25 shares
- ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs ScotlandWest Indies 99.9% 15.62 shares
- Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs WeClear - Map 2 WinnerNAVI Junior 85.4% 9.09 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?Yes 34% 5 shares
- ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs ScotlandWest Indies 88% 5.63 shares
- ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs ScotlandWest Indies 87% 5 shares
- ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs ScotlandWest Indies 85% 5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 48.7% 10.2 shares