Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $604.5
- Potential payout
- $3.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $170.5
Polymarket Trader
-....-
0x0a91866d5a0d8c4b47be51f32139668d3ef33392
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.01K
- Realized PnL
- -$185.45
- Win rate
- 28.6%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.3%
- Current value
- $197.58
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 6.15x
- User PnL
- $148.94
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.7%
- Current value
- $81.48
- Potential payout
- $840
- Potential profit
- $758.52
- Multiplier
- 10.31x
- User PnL
- -$19.32
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $140
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $660
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $38
Yes position
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $63.75
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $686.25
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$86.25
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $748.33
- Potential profit
- $748.33
- User PnL
- -$127.22
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $362.25
- Potential payout
- $630
- Potential profit
- $267.75
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $110.25
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $182
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $218
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$22
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $399.99
- User PnL
- -$32
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $22.23
- Potential payout
- $380
- Potential profit
- $357.77
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $2.09
Yes position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $216.78
- Potential profit
- $216.78
- User PnL
- -$19.51
No position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$99
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $27.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $172.7
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $108.9
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $71.1
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $9.9
No position
Will Lionel Messi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $170
- User PnL
- -$25.5
Yes position
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $73.78
- Potential payout
- $143.27
- Potential profit
- $69.48
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $0.72
Y
Yes position
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $94.29
- Potential payout
- $142.87
- Potential profit
- $48.57
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $30.1
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $109.9
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $4.9
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.99
- Potential profit
- $119.99
- User PnL
- -$52.8
Yes position
Will Casemiro score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $26.8
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $53.2
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $2.8
Yes position
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $90B and $100B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27.6
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$46
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$54
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$82.49
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$135.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 14.7% 200 shares
- Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 31.3% 120 shares
- Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 32.1% 110 shares
- Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 31.7% 140 shares
- Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 32.5% 331.42 shares
- Will Lionel Messi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 15% 170 shares
- Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes 18% 120 shares
- Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 9% 216.78 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?Down 7% 249.98 shares
- Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes 41% 120 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes 13% 700 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 17?Down 17% 48.34 shares