No position
Will Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $4.06
- Potential payout
- $4.08
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.06
Polymarket Trader
86547
0x0a983fdea0dac4ad25dd68df82b9f0f869377843
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.09
- Realized PnL
- $15.93
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.92
- Potential profit
- $3.92
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
US strike on Syria by December 19?
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.09
- Potential profit
- $3.09
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $3.05
- Potential payout
- $3.08
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $2.14
- Potential payout
- $2.16
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $1.92
- Potential payout
- $2.11
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $2.08
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $2.07
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $2.06
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $2.02
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.96
- Potential profit
- $1.96
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.01
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Frontdoor (FTDR) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: November
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?Yes 96.7% 2.07 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 97.5% 3.08 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 92.7% 2.16 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No 99.4% 2.01 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 96% 2.08 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes 98.2% 2.04 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026?Yes 95% 2.11 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?Yes 93.3% 2.14 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?Yes 96.9% 2.06 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?Yes 97.9% 2.04 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.7% 2.07 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes 97% 2.06 shares