Polymarket Trader

sniffle

0x0a9d08716710785f9aa35b9792ca7e136d73ab5e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $835.76
Realized PnL: -$267.59
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $826.23
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $649.18
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: -$73.77

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$160

No position

Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $811.09
Potential profit: $811.09
User PnL: -$40

No position

OpenAI browser in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $519.45
Potential profit: $519.45
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.56
Potential profit: $109.56
User PnL: -$50

Blue Jays position

Dodgers vs. Blue Jays

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.72
Potential profit: $71.72
User PnL: -$34.8

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.4%
Current value: $4.04
Potential payout: $28.17
Potential profit: $24.13
Multiplier: 6.97x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.7
Potential profit: $23.7
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $13.33
User PnL: -$4

Ecuador position

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $10.53
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 37.4%
Current value: $3.32
Potential payout: $8.9
Potential profit: $5.58
Multiplier: 2.68x
User PnL: $0.32

Canada position

Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.57
Potential profit: $8.57
User PnL: -$3

Mexico position

Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.16
Potential profit: $8.16
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $2.17
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $1.54
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $0.17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Belgium position

Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.26

No position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.15

Yes position

Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$270

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 54% 3.7 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 33.7% 8.9 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.2% 28.17 shares
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

Mexico 49% 8.16 shares
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Canada 35% 8.57 shares
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Belgium 39% 10.26 shares
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Yes 30% 13.33 shares
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance

Ecuador 19% 10.53 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

No 66% 15.15 shares
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 61% 1,475.41 shares
US government shutdown Saturday?

No 26% 1,153.85 shares
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Yes 15.1% 1,057.31 shares