Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $1.29K
- Potential payout
- $43.71K
- Potential profit
- $42.42K
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$822.27
Polymarket Trader
flxbt
0x0aaa136c909c1161a7deb24134acdf6e4d2f42ce
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.02K
- Realized PnL
- $248.98
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Current value
- $744.17
- Potential payout
- $3.64K
- Potential profit
- $2.9K
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- -$255.83
No position
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $985.69
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $153.84
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$14.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.61
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.47
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$111.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 17% 11,111.11 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 18% 11,111.11 shares
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 4.5% 222.22 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 27.5% 3,640.74 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?No 85% 1,176.47 shares
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 4.9% 20,292.52 shares
- Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?No 84.5% 1,183.6 shares
- Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?No 87.8% 1,139.53 shares
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 4.7% 21,495.21 shares