Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $35.85
- Potential payout
- $35.85K
- Potential profit
- $35.81K
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$28.93
Polymarket Trader
hl.contrariandog
@Deshady_
0x0ab38b65301796e58e237644debe45069298b750
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $72.13
- Realized PnL
- -$146.22
- Win rate
- 27.8%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.05K
- Potential profit
- $11.05K
- User PnL
- -$22.1
Yes position
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.4
- Potential payout
- $2.79K
- Potential profit
- $2.79K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$16.12
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.7%
- Current value
- $34.89
- Potential payout
- $361.55
- Potential profit
- $326.66
- Multiplier
- 10.36x
- User PnL
- $23.19
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.83
- Potential profit
- $30.83
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $552.11
No position
Trove FDV above $10M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.42
No position
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.81
No position
Will Powell say "Sorry" during December press conference?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.45
No position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during December press conference?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Powell say "Trump" during December press conference?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Trove FDV above $40M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.12
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.59
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.63
Yes position
No airdrop in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50.64
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$64.11
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$73.83
No position
HumidiFi FDV above $80M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$84.6
No position
Will Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during December press conference?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$92.04
No position
Will Aztec launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$105.44
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$273.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 5.2% 63.64 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 2.9% 51 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 2.8% 246.91 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.1% 30,653.11 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 3.9% 30.83 shares
- Will Aztec launch a token by March 31, 2026?No 0.8% 7,884.22 shares
- Will Aztec launch a token by March 31, 2026?No 3.4% 7.89 shares
- Will Aztec launch a token by March 31, 2026?No 5.6% 6.34 shares
- Will Aztec launch a token by March 31, 2026?No 4.8% 56.85 shares
- Will Aztec launch a token by March 31, 2026?No 4.9% 30 shares
- Will Aztec launch a token by March 31, 2026?No 8.5% 60 shares
- Trove FDV above $40M one day after launch?Yes 1.2% 106.1 shares