No position
Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $33.69
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Polymarket Trader
Julied5
0x0abe3c708c2b091b39f5362e7b9324b8ba71f8a0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $53.39
- Realized PnL
- $16.85
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $18.7
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be below 65%?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.2
No position
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will "Sinners" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 56-57°F on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C or higher on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will 10-14 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C or higher on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get 41 million or more views on day 3?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 74 and 75 million views on day 6?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week? (February 10)
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Pakistan strikes Afghanistan by February 27, 2026?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?No 99% 19 shares
- Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?No 98.5% 38 shares
- Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?No 99.8% 20 shares
- Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?No 99.9% 24 shares
- Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?No 99.9% 17 shares
- Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?No 98% 17 shares
- Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No 99.9% 34 shares
- Will MrBeast say "Eliminate" or "Eliminated" during his next YouTube video?Yes 99% 16 shares
- Will MrBeast say "Eliminate" or "Eliminated" during his next YouTube video?Yes 97% 16 shares
- Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?No 99.2% 17 shares
- Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?No 98% 17 shares
- Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?Yes 99.9% 16 shares