Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.6%
- Current value
- $391
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- Multiplier
- 5.12x
- User PnL
- -$609
Polymarket Trader
vivi-2026
0x0ac4bec23fa014886696c1c8b34779353ea5d344
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.76K
- Realized PnL
- $6.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $1.61K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $391
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $609
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $35.28
- Potential payout
- $850
- Potential profit
- $814.73
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$23.02
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $441
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $159
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$111
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $594.9
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $5.1
- User PnL
- $11
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $398.2
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $1.8
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $198.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $1.1
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.4%
- Current value
- $89.4
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $10.6
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $890.02
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $860.06
Yes position
Trump approval >40% on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $507.69
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $450
No position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 26-September 1?
Ends Sep 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $378.04
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $328.01
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.02
Yes position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 2-8?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.01
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 29-May 5?
Ends May 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130
No position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.3
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.19
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.03
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.82
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the October meeting?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.16
Yes position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 4-10?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
Yes position
Trump trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.9
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.05
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $68.41
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.02
Yes position
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 15.1% 200 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 93% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 98.9% 300 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 79% 100 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No 99.8% 57.34 shares
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?No 99.8% 400 shares
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?No 99.8% 400 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No 99.8% 499.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 92% 300 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 89% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 99.9% 1,699.98 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 96% 200 shares