Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $50.5
- Potential payout
- $297.06
- Potential profit
- $246.56
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Polymarket Trader
0x0ae3...1930
0x0ae3fbe2f0229da7039cc9f37d71b30bd9231930
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $288.35
- Realized PnL
- $101.17
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $93.18
- Potential payout
- $151.52
- Potential profit
- $58.33
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$6.82
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $56.28
- Potential payout
- $62.19
- Potential profit
- $5.91
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $6.53
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $46.3
- Potential payout
- $56.82
- Potential profit
- $10.52
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$3.7
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.1%
- Current value
- $42.09
- Potential payout
- $50.05
- Potential profit
- $7.96
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $12.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.47
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.5
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.73
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.67
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.37
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.05
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.27
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes 16.8% 297.06 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 88% 56.82 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 66% 151.52 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 46.6% 21.46 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 59.6% 50.05 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 80% 62.19 shares
- Iran leadership change by May 31?No 85% 35.12 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?Yes 68.2% 29.18 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 93% 117.17 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 91% 133.51 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 99.2% 59.52 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes 99.9% 90.14 shares